Tuesday, February 12, 2008

The Potomac Primaries

Good Morning!

Sorry for not posting in a while. I've been a little busy with personal matters.

Today we have the next contests in the nomination process of both parties, the Potomac Primaries in Virginia, Maryland, and the District of Columbia. Virginia is the big prize today for both parties. Will Obama be able to continue his big momentum that he had sweeping all the Democratic contests over the weekend? Probably. On the GOP side this is a huge test of the Conservatives. Will they coalesce around Huckabee or be split? On a national level the coalescing seems to be taking place in increased numbers. Rasmussen started their GOP Tracking poll again on Saturday and Huck has surged while McCain is falling. The only Virginia poll I have seen is showing the same trends (especially in more conservative Southern and Central Virginia). Interesting enough the weather is supposed to be worse today in the areas that would seem more favorable to McCain. We'll see if that plays in our favor tonight and the effect of the over 50,000 calls that Huckabee Rangers have made into the state.

Maryland and DC will probably go for McCain. I think McCain will have to sweat a little in Virginia. I do think there is a good shot for Huck in Virginia. We shall see tonight I suppose.

As for the rest of the race McCain is running out of blue states to win. Only Wisconsin, Vermont, Rhode Island, Pennsylvania, and Hawaii are left for him. Everything else is a red state which will be more supportive to Mike Huckabee as long as he stays in the race. If the current trends continue McCain may be reaching for the delegate crumbs while Huck gets the cookies. Let's hope they do!

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